- Bubbles are easy to see when looking at a time series price chart
- It's difficult to tell when exactly bubbles will pop - they can always go higher
- Bubbles tend to deflate far faster than they inflate
- Bubbles deflate very sharp and fast
- Think 20-50% in matter of months!
- Bubbles follow a typical pattern
- They first rise gradually for an extended time period
- They then rise at a faster pace with a steep rally (bend in graph)
- They then being to rise exponentially (almost vertical
- Then they pop and fall fast (vertically)
Some World's Greatest Bubbles
- Steam Engines
- US Canals (1700s)
- US Midwestern Real Estate (1800s)
- Railroad boom (peak in 1920s)
- Automobiles (1929)
- Bitcoin (2017)