Bubble

Bubble

  • Bubbles are easy to see when looking at a time series price chart
  • It's difficult to tell when exactly bubbles will pop - they can always go higher
  • Bubbles tend to deflate far faster than they inflate
    • Bubbles deflate very sharp and fast
    • Think 20-50% in matter of months!
  • Bubbles follow a typical pattern
    • They first rise gradually for an extended time period
    • They then rise at a faster pace with a steep rally (bend in graph)
    • They then being to rise exponentially (almost vertical
    • Then they pop and fall fast (vertically)


Some World's Greatest Bubbles

  • Steam Engines
  • US Canals (1700s)
  • US Midwestern Real Estate (1800s)
  • Railroad boom  (peak in 1920s)
  • Automobiles (1929)
  • Bitcoin (2017)